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Análise Semanal 02/05

Publicado em 02.05.2009 por CHRistian na(s) categoria(s) Análises, Análises Semanais, Análises em Vídeo, ITAU4, PETR4, VALE5

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video

video

Parte 1

Parte 2

Para ver os vídeos: Clique na imagem. Abrirá uma nova janela e clique no play.

.

Parte 1 – Ibov, Fluxo Bovespa, BMF , Fluxo 10 Mais, LAD, PETR4, VALE5, ITAU4.

Parte 2 – DJI, S&P500, VIX, New High Nem Low, LAD NY e Gráfico comparativo das crises.

 

Fluxo 10 Mais Semanal

Saldo positivo

Saldo negativo
BBDC4 50.800.000
CMIG4 40.596.800
BVMF3 35.288.700
CRUZ3 30.752.200
GGBR4 28.771.700
CSNA3 28.571.400
ARCZ6 20.496.900
VCPA4 13.318.500
GFSA3 12.764.200
BBAS3 11.669.600
PETR4 (180.788.500)
PETR3 (92.853.600)
VALE5 (67.900.000)
RDCD3 (62.487.500)
VALE3 (60.300.000)
USIM5 (58.800.000)
ELPL6 (25.022.600)
JBSS3 (23.462.500)
TAMM4 (21.361.700)
CYRE3 (19.895.700)
 
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TAGS

Dow Jones Fluxo Investidores Ibov ITAU4 LAD New Highs New Lows PETR4 S&P500 VALE5 VIX

2 comentários para “Análise Semanal 02/05”

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  1. Ricardo Dorneles Furtado disse:
    2 de maio de 2009 às 14:34

    Olá Christian. Ótimos comentários. Sabendo que nossa bolsa é gringo-dependente, cabe uma indagação sobre sua performance; o que determina as subidas/descidas do IBOV? investidores estrangeiros (percebido de maneira indireta pelo Fluxo das 10 Mais), DJ ou commodities? A identificação do fator principal de atrelamento poderia ser usado como start ou encerramento de posições no mercado.Outra observação, não comentada pela sua análise: dólar trabalhando em base de congestão lateral (ou um canal), embora tenha feito pivot de baixa no diário e médias estejam apontando para baixo.

  2. Lord Target disse:
    3 de maio de 2009 às 2:04

    Aproveitando o comentário do colega, só chamar a atenção para o gráfico do IBOV Dolarizado: veja que o canal de alta que ele se encontra pode ser divido 2 sub-canais entre a banda superior e inferior do canal principal. No momento, desde que ele voltou para sub-canal inferior no dia 20/04, o índice ainda não coseguiu rompe-lo. Sendo que nos 2 últimos pregões, foi barrado, mesmo com um volumes satisfatórios, pela MM 200 que coincide com esse banda que divide o canal principal em dois sub-canais, além da banda superior de Bollinger no último pregão. Minha questão é o quanto também as divergências explicitas no IFR e em outros indicadores vão perdurar, até que uma correção mais acentuada entre em processo.

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.

video

video

Parte 1

Parte 2

Para ver os vídeos: Clique na imagem. Abrirá uma nova janela e clique no play.

.

Parte 1 – Ibov, Fluxo Bovespa, BMF , Fluxo 10 Mais, LAD, PETR4, VALE5, ITAU4.

Parte 2 – DJI, S&P500, VIX, New High Nem Low, LAD NY e Gráfico comparativo das crises.

 

Fluxo 10 Mais Semanal

Saldo positivo

Saldo negativo
BBDC4 50.800.000
CMIG4 40.596.800
BVMF3 35.288.700
CRUZ3 30.752.200
GGBR4 28.771.700
CSNA3 28.571.400
ARCZ6 20.496.900
VCPA4 13.318.500
GFSA3 12.764.200
BBAS3 11.669.600
PETR4 (180.788.500)
PETR3 (92.853.600)
VALE5 (67.900.000)
RDCD3 (62.487.500)
VALE3 (60.300.000)
USIM5 (58.800.000)
ELPL6 (25.022.600)
JBSS3 (23.462.500)
TAMM4 (21.361.700)
CYRE3 (19.895.700)
 
.
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extension bmp Checking file extension png Checking file extension pdf Checking file extension mp3 Checking file extension wav Checking file extension phps Checking file extension zip Checking file extension gz Checking file extension tar Checking file extension rar Checking file extension jar Checking file extension exe Checking file extension pps Checking file extension ppt Checking file extension xls Checking file extension doc Checking file extension swf File extension found Absolute URL, remove hostname from URL Start uga_get_option: prefix_file_links uga_options: array ( 'version_sent' => '1.6.0', 'advanced_config' => true, 'account_id' => 'UA-2039826-1', 'internal_domains' => 'www.chrinvestor.com,chrinvestor.com', 'max_user_level' => '8', 'prefix_ext_links' => '/outgoing/', 'prefix_mail_links' => '/mailto/', 'prefix_file_links' => '/downloads/', 'track_extensions' => 'gif,jpg,jpeg,bmp,png,pdf,mp3,wav,phps,zip,gz,tar,rar,jar,exe,pps,ppt,xls,doc,swf', 'enable_tracker' => true, 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.

video

video

Parte 1

Parte 2

Para ver os vídeos: Clique na imagem. Abrirá uma nova janela e clique no play.

.

Parte 1 – Ibov, Fluxo Bovespa, BMF , Fluxo 10 Mais, LAD, PETR4, VALE5, ITAU4.

Parte 2 – DJI, S&P500, VIX, New High Nem Low, LAD NY e Gráfico comparativo das crises.

 

Fluxo 10 Mais Semanal

Saldo positivo

Saldo negativo
BBDC4 50.800.000
CMIG4 40.596.800
BVMF3 35.288.700
CRUZ3 30.752.200
GGBR4 28.771.700
CSNA3 28.571.400
ARCZ6 20.496.900
VCPA4 13.318.500
GFSA3 12.764.200
BBAS3 11.669.600
PETR4 (180.788.500)
PETR3 (92.853.600)
VALE5 (67.900.000)
RDCD3 (62.487.500)
VALE3 (60.300.000)
USIM5 (58.800.000)
ELPL6 (25.022.600)
JBSS3 (23.462.500)
TAMM4 (21.361.700)
CYRE3 (19.895.700)
 
.
Start uga_filter: Ricardo Dorneles Furtado Start uga_in_feed Ending uga_in_feed: Start uga_track_user Start uga_get_option: ignore_users uga_options: array ( 'version_sent' => '1.6.0', 'advanced_config' => true, 'account_id' => 'UA-2039826-1', 'internal_domains' => 'www.chrinvestor.com,chrinvestor.com', 'max_user_level' => '8', 'prefix_ext_links' => '/outgoing/', 'prefix_mail_links' => '/mailto/', 'prefix_file_links' => '/downloads/', 'track_extensions' => 'gif,jpg,jpeg,bmp,png,pdf,mp3,wav,phps,zip,gz,tar,rar,jar,exe,pps,ppt,xls,doc,swf', 'enable_tracker' => true, 'filter_content' => true, 'filter_comments' => true, 'filter_comment_authors' => true, 'track_adm_pages' => false, 'track_ext_links' => true, 'track_mail_links' => true, 'track_files' => true, 'ignore_users' => true, 'debug' => true, 'check_updates' => true, ) Ending uga_get_option: ignore_users (1) Start uga_get_option: max_user_level uga_options: array ( 'version_sent' => '1.6.0', 'advanced_config' => true, 'account_id' => 'UA-2039826-1', 'internal_domains' => 'www.chrinvestor.com,chrinvestor.com', 'max_user_level' => '8', 'prefix_ext_links' => '/outgoing/', 'prefix_mail_links' => '/mailto/', 'prefix_file_links' => '/downloads/', 'track_extensions' => 'gif,jpg,jpeg,bmp,png,pdf,mp3,wav,phps,zip,gz,tar,rar,jar,exe,pps,ppt,xls,doc,swf', 'enable_tracker' => true, 'filter_content' => true, 'filter_comments' => true, 'filter_comment_authors' => true, 'track_adm_pages' => false, 'track_ext_links' => true, 'track_mail_links' => true, 'track_files' => true, 'ignore_users' => true, 'debug' => true, 'check_updates' => true, ) Ending uga_get_option: max_user_level (8) Tracking user with level 0 Ending uga_track_user: 1 Calling preg_replace_callback: ]*?)href\s*=\s*['"](.*?)['"]([^>]*)>(.*?) Ending uga_filter: Ricardo Dorneles Furtado Start uga_filter:

Olá Christian. Ótimos comentários. Sabendo que nossa bolsa é gringo-dependente, cabe uma indagação sobre sua performance; o que determina as subidas/descidas do IBOV? investidores estrangeiros (percebido de maneira indireta pelo Fluxo das 10 Mais), DJ ou commodities? A identificação do fator principal de atrelamento poderia ser usado como start ou encerramento de posições no mercado.Outra observação, não comentada pela sua análise: dólar trabalhando em base de congestão lateral (ou um canal), embora tenha feito pivot de baixa no diário e médias estejam apontando para baixo.

Start uga_in_feed Ending uga_in_feed: Start uga_track_user Start uga_get_option: ignore_users uga_options: array ( 'version_sent' => '1.6.0', 'advanced_config' => true, 'account_id' => 'UA-2039826-1', 'internal_domains' => 'www.chrinvestor.com,chrinvestor.com', 'max_user_level' => '8', 'prefix_ext_links' => '/outgoing/', 'prefix_mail_links' => '/mailto/', 'prefix_file_links' => '/downloads/', 'track_extensions' => 'gif,jpg,jpeg,bmp,png,pdf,mp3,wav,phps,zip,gz,tar,rar,jar,exe,pps,ppt,xls,doc,swf', 'enable_tracker' => true, 'filter_content' => true, 'filter_comments' => true, 'filter_comment_authors' => true, 'track_adm_pages' => false, 'track_ext_links' => true, 'track_mail_links' => true, 'track_files' => true, 'ignore_users' => true, 'debug' => true, 'check_updates' => true, ) Ending uga_get_option: ignore_users (1) Start uga_get_option: max_user_level uga_options: array ( 'version_sent' => '1.6.0', 'advanced_config' => true, 'account_id' => 'UA-2039826-1', 'internal_domains' => 'www.chrinvestor.com,chrinvestor.com', 'max_user_level' => '8', 'prefix_ext_links' => '/outgoing/', 'prefix_mail_links' => '/mailto/', 'prefix_file_links' => '/downloads/', 'track_extensions' => 'gif,jpg,jpeg,bmp,png,pdf,mp3,wav,phps,zip,gz,tar,rar,jar,exe,pps,ppt,xls,doc,swf', 'enable_tracker' => true, 'filter_content' => true, 'filter_comments' => true, 'filter_comment_authors' => true, 'track_adm_pages' => false, 'track_ext_links' => true, 'track_mail_links' => true, 'track_files' => true, 'ignore_users' => true, 'debug' => true, 'check_updates' => true, ) Ending uga_get_option: max_user_level (8) Tracking user with level 0 Ending uga_track_user: 1 Calling preg_replace_callback: ]*?)href\s*=\s*['"](.*?)['"]([^>]*)>(.*?) Ending uga_filter:

Olá Christian. Ótimos comentários. Sabendo que nossa bolsa é gringo-dependente, cabe uma indagação sobre sua performance; o que determina as subidas/descidas do IBOV? investidores estrangeiros (percebido de maneira indireta pelo Fluxo das 10 Mais), DJ ou commodities? A identificação do fator principal de atrelamento poderia ser usado como start ou encerramento de posições no mercado.Outra observação, não comentada pela sua análise: dólar trabalhando em base de congestão lateral (ou um canal), embora tenha feito pivot de baixa no diário e médias estejam apontando para baixo.

Start uga_filter: Lord Target Start uga_in_feed Ending uga_in_feed: Start uga_track_user Start uga_get_option: ignore_users uga_options: array ( 'version_sent' => '1.6.0', 'advanced_config' => true, 'account_id' => 'UA-2039826-1', 'internal_domains' => 'www.chrinvestor.com,chrinvestor.com', 'max_user_level' => '8', 'prefix_ext_links' => '/outgoing/', 'prefix_mail_links' => '/mailto/', 'prefix_file_links' => '/downloads/', 'track_extensions' => 'gif,jpg,jpeg,bmp,png,pdf,mp3,wav,phps,zip,gz,tar,rar,jar,exe,pps,ppt,xls,doc,swf', 'enable_tracker' => true, 'filter_content' => true, 'filter_comments' => true, 'filter_comment_authors' => true, 'track_adm_pages' => false, 'track_ext_links' => true, 'track_mail_links' => true, 'track_files' => true, 'ignore_users' => true, 'debug' => true, 'check_updates' => true, ) Ending uga_get_option: ignore_users (1) Start uga_get_option: max_user_level uga_options: array ( 'version_sent' => '1.6.0', 'advanced_config' => true, 'account_id' => 'UA-2039826-1', 'internal_domains' => 'www.chrinvestor.com,chrinvestor.com', 'max_user_level' => '8', 'prefix_ext_links' => '/outgoing/', 'prefix_mail_links' => '/mailto/', 'prefix_file_links' => '/downloads/', 'track_extensions' => 'gif,jpg,jpeg,bmp,png,pdf,mp3,wav,phps,zip,gz,tar,rar,jar,exe,pps,ppt,xls,doc,swf', 'enable_tracker' => true, 'filter_content' => true, 'filter_comments' => true, 'filter_comment_authors' => true, 'track_adm_pages' => false, 'track_ext_links' => true, 'track_mail_links' => true, 'track_files' => true, 'ignore_users' => true, 'debug' => true, 'check_updates' => true, ) Ending uga_get_option: max_user_level (8) Tracking user with level 0 Ending uga_track_user: 1 Calling preg_replace_callback: ]*?)href\s*=\s*['"](.*?)['"]([^>]*)>(.*?) Ending uga_filter: Lord Target Start uga_filter:

Aproveitando o comentário do colega, só chamar a atenção para o gráfico do IBOV Dolarizado: veja que o canal de alta que ele se encontra pode ser divido 2 sub-canais entre a banda superior e inferior do canal principal. No momento, desde que ele voltou para sub-canal inferior no dia 20/04, o índice ainda não coseguiu rompe-lo. Sendo que nos 2 últimos pregões, foi barrado, mesmo com um volumes satisfatórios, pela MM 200 que coincide com esse banda que divide o canal principal em dois sub-canais, além da banda superior de Bollinger no último pregão. Minha questão é o quanto também as divergências explicitas no IFR e em outros indicadores vão perdurar, até que uma correção mais acentuada entre em processo.

Start uga_in_feed Ending uga_in_feed: Start uga_track_user Start uga_get_option: ignore_users uga_options: array ( 'version_sent' => '1.6.0', 'advanced_config' => true, 'account_id' => 'UA-2039826-1', 'internal_domains' => 'www.chrinvestor.com,chrinvestor.com', 'max_user_level' => '8', 'prefix_ext_links' => '/outgoing/', 'prefix_mail_links' => '/mailto/', 'prefix_file_links' => '/downloads/', 'track_extensions' => 'gif,jpg,jpeg,bmp,png,pdf,mp3,wav,phps,zip,gz,tar,rar,jar,exe,pps,ppt,xls,doc,swf', 'enable_tracker' => true, 'filter_content' => true, 'filter_comments' => true, 'filter_comment_authors' => true, 'track_adm_pages' => false, 'track_ext_links' => true, 'track_mail_links' => true, 'track_files' => true, 'ignore_users' => true, 'debug' => true, 'check_updates' => true, ) Ending uga_get_option: ignore_users (1) Start uga_get_option: max_user_level uga_options: array ( 'version_sent' => '1.6.0', 'advanced_config' => true, 'account_id' => 'UA-2039826-1', 'internal_domains' => 'www.chrinvestor.com,chrinvestor.com', 'max_user_level' => '8', 'prefix_ext_links' => '/outgoing/', 'prefix_mail_links' => '/mailto/', 'prefix_file_links' => '/downloads/', 'track_extensions' => 'gif,jpg,jpeg,bmp,png,pdf,mp3,wav,phps,zip,gz,tar,rar,jar,exe,pps,ppt,xls,doc,swf', 'enable_tracker' => true, 'filter_content' => true, 'filter_comments' => true, 'filter_comment_authors' => true, 'track_adm_pages' => false, 'track_ext_links' => true, 'track_mail_links' => true, 'track_files' => true, 'ignore_users' => true, 'debug' => true, 'check_updates' => true, ) Ending uga_get_option: max_user_level (8) Tracking user with level 0 Ending uga_track_user: 1 Calling preg_replace_callback: ]*?)href\s*=\s*['"](.*?)['"]([^>]*)>(.*?) Ending uga_filter:

Aproveitando o comentário do colega, só chamar a atenção para o gráfico do IBOV Dolarizado: veja que o canal de alta que ele se encontra pode ser divido 2 sub-canais entre a banda superior e inferior do canal principal. No momento, desde que ele voltou para sub-canal inferior no dia 20/04, o índice ainda não coseguiu rompe-lo. Sendo que nos 2 últimos pregões, foi barrado, mesmo com um volumes satisfatórios, pela MM 200 que coincide com esse banda que divide o canal principal em dois sub-canais, além da banda superior de Bollinger no último pregão. Minha questão é o quanto também as divergências explicitas no IFR e em outros indicadores vão perdurar, até que uma correção mais acentuada entre em processo.

Start uga_shutdown Start uga_in_feed Ending uga_in_feed: Start uga_track_user Start uga_get_option: ignore_users uga_options: array ( 'version_sent' => '1.6.0', 'advanced_config' => true, 'account_id' => 'UA-2039826-1', 'internal_domains' => 'www.chrinvestor.com,chrinvestor.com', 'max_user_level' => '8', 'prefix_ext_links' => '/outgoing/', 'prefix_mail_links' => '/mailto/', 'prefix_file_links' => '/downloads/', 'track_extensions' => 'gif,jpg,jpeg,bmp,png,pdf,mp3,wav,phps,zip,gz,tar,rar,jar,exe,pps,ppt,xls,doc,swf', 'enable_tracker' => true, 'filter_content' => true, 'filter_comments' => true, 'filter_comment_authors' => true, 'track_adm_pages' => false, 'track_ext_links' => true, 'track_mail_links' => true, 'track_files' => true, 'ignore_users' => true, 'debug' => true, 'check_updates' => true, ) Ending uga_get_option: ignore_users (1) Start uga_get_option: max_user_level uga_options: array ( 'version_sent' => '1.6.0', 'advanced_config' => true, 'account_id' => 'UA-2039826-1', 'internal_domains' => 'www.chrinvestor.com,chrinvestor.com', 'max_user_level' => '8', 'prefix_ext_links' => '/outgoing/', 'prefix_mail_links' => '/mailto/', 'prefix_file_links' => '/downloads/', 'track_extensions' => 'gif,jpg,jpeg,bmp,png,pdf,mp3,wav,phps,zip,gz,tar,rar,jar,exe,pps,ppt,xls,doc,swf', 'enable_tracker' => true, 'filter_content' => true, 'filter_comments' => true, 'filter_comment_authors' => true, 'track_adm_pages' => false, 'track_ext_links' => true, 'track_mail_links' => true, 'track_files' => true, 'ignore_users' => true, 'debug' => true, 'check_updates' => true, ) Ending uga_get_option: max_user_level (8) Tracking user with level 0 Ending uga_track_user: 1 Footer hook was not executed, but header hook did Start uga_get_option: footer_hooked uga_options: array ( 'version_sent' => '1.6.0', 'advanced_config' => true, 'account_id' => 'UA-2039826-1', 'internal_domains' => 'www.chrinvestor.com,chrinvestor.com', 'max_user_level' => '8', 'prefix_ext_links' => '/outgoing/', 'prefix_mail_links' => '/mailto/', 'prefix_file_links' => '/downloads/', 'track_extensions' => 'gif,jpg,jpeg,bmp,png,pdf,mp3,wav,phps,zip,gz,tar,rar,jar,exe,pps,ppt,xls,doc,swf', 'enable_tracker' => true, 'filter_content' => true, 'filter_comments' => true, 'filter_comment_authors' => true, 'track_adm_pages' => false, 'track_ext_links' => true, 'track_mail_links' => true, 'track_files' => true, 'ignore_users' => true, 'debug' => true, 'check_updates' => true, ) Constructing default options array uga_default_options: array ( 'internal_domains' => 'www.chrinvestor.com,chrinvestor.com', 'account_id' => 'UA-XXXXXX-X', 'enable_tracker' => true, 'track_adm_pages' => false, 'ignore_users' => true, 'max_user_level' => 8, 'footer_hooked' => false, 'filter_content' => true, 'filter_comments' => true, 'filter_comment_authors' => true, 'track_ext_links' => true, 'prefix_ext_links' => '/outgoing/', 'track_files' => true, 'prefix_file_links' => '/downloads/', 'track_extensions' => 'gif,jpg,jpeg,bmp,png,pdf,mp3,wav,phps,zip,gz,tar,rar,jar,exe,pps,ppt,xls,doc', 'track_mail_links' => true, 'prefix_mail_links' => '/mailto/', 'debug' => false, 'check_updates' => true, 'version_sent' => '', 'advanced_config' => false, ) Ending uga_get_option: footer_hooked () Start uga_get_option: debug uga_options: array ( 'version_sent' => '1.6.0', 'advanced_config' => true, 'account_id' => 'UA-2039826-1', 'internal_domains' => 'www.chrinvestor.com,chrinvestor.com', 'max_user_level' => '8', 'prefix_ext_links' => '/outgoing/', 'prefix_mail_links' => '/mailto/', 'prefix_file_links' => '/downloads/', 'track_extensions' => 'gif,jpg,jpeg,bmp,png,pdf,mp3,wav,phps,zip,gz,tar,rar,jar,exe,pps,ppt,xls,doc,swf', 'enable_tracker' => true, 'filter_content' => true, 'filter_comments' => true, 'filter_comment_authors' => true, 'track_adm_pages' => false, 'track_ext_links' => true, 'track_mail_links' => true, 'track_files' => true, 'ignore_users' => true, 'debug' => true, 'check_updates' => true, ) Ending uga_get_option: debug (1) -->